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Markets

The global pulse, the events repricing fastest, the news moving them and the assets in focus — all in one curated view.

Cached · regenerated hourly Medium
Market postureCached · regenerated hourly
Prediction-market attention is leaning toward risk-on outcomes; the strongest moves favour growth-sensitive assets.
Cross-asset tiltLeaning risk-on · 74/100
Risk-offBalancedRisk-on
Macro risk levelElevated
Top drivers
risk-onA new spot crypto ETF is approved in Q3 2026 (+11pts)
risk-onFed cuts rates at the July 2026 meeting (+9pts)
risk-onBrent crude trades above $95 before year-end (+7pts)
Decision read: Prediction-market attention is leaning toward risk-on outcomes; the strongest moves favour growth-sensitive assets.
ProMarkets provides market intelligence, summaries, scenarios and impact analysis on assets or watchlists defined by the user. It does not assess the suitability or appropriateness of transactions for any specific person, does not execute orders, and does not provide personalized investment advice.
Global Market PulseCached · regenerated hourly

Rate-cut odds firm up as cooling data meets steady risk assets

Prediction markets are leaning further toward a July rate cut after softer labour data, while inflation-overshoot odds eased. Crypto-ETF approval odds rose on constructive regulatory commentary, and oil-spike odds ticked higher on renewed supply-route risk. Equities held firm and the dollar drifted lower.

MediumSources: Polymarket · Kalshi · GDELT Project · FRED · CoinGecko
6
Tracked movers
4 up · 2 down
$12M
Volume in scope
across venues
+11pts
Largest 24h move
55% implied
68
Avg signal quality
rules-based · 0–100
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ProMarkets provides market intelligence, summaries, scenarios and impact analysis on assets or watchlists defined by the user. It does not assess the suitability or appropriateness of transactions for any specific person, does not execute orders, and does not provide personalized investment advice.

Liquidity & On-chain

Cached · regenerated hourly
Macro liquidityNeutral
Expansiveness 48/100

Macro liquidity conditions read balanced: neither clearly accommodative nor restrictive.

Stablecoin liquidityNeutral
Expansiveness 40/100

Stablecoin supply is broadly flat: crypto-ecosystem liquidity with no clear bias.

Crypto ETF flows

Requires licensed source · Coming soon

Crypto derivatives

Requires licensed source · Coming soon

Premium

Component breakdown of each liquidity pulse, available on Premium.

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MediumSources: FRED · U.S. Treasury · NYFED MARKETS · DeFiLlama

ProMarkets provides market intelligence, summaries, scenarios and impact analysis on assets or watchlists defined by the user. It does not assess the suitability or appropriateness of transactions for any specific person, does not execute orders, and does not provide personalized investment advice.

Top Probability Movers

The events repricing fastest right now

Ranked by our Retail Probability Trend Index — probability change weighted by volume, liquidity and news intensity. Click any event for the structured research view.

Vol $2.3MTrend 69Signal 83
Assets in scope
Vol $4.8MTrend 75Signal 88
Assets in scope
Vol $1.7MTrend 55Signal 66
Assets in scope
Vol $1.3MTrend 47Signal 63
Assets in scope
Vol $870KTrend 35Signal 55
Assets in scope
Vol $980KTrend 34Signal 55
Assets in scope
News × probability cross

Every probability shift, traced to the news that moved it

A probability move is only useful with a narrative behind it. We link each event to the headlines and macro prints driving it — then to the assets in the blast radius.

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Assets in focus

Broad coverage. Curated intelligence.

A curated set of core assets in front — thousands more searchable behind. Each carries a live read on how today’s events may impact it.

BTCCrypto
high impact
Bitcoin
$66,150 +2.42%
Driver Crypto
view →
SPXIndex
medium impact
S&P 500
5,612 +0.6%
Driver Risk-on
view →
NDXIndex
high impact
Nasdaq 100
19,840 +0.9%
Driver Mega-cap tech
view →
US10YRate
high impact
US 10-Year Yield
4.18% -1.3%
Driver Rates
view →
DXYFX
medium impact
US Dollar Index
103.2 -0.4%
Driver FX
view →
XAUCommodity
medium impact
Gold
$2,388 +0.8%
Driver Gold
view →
WTICommodity
high impact
WTI Crude Oil
$81.40 +1.7%
Driver Oil
view →
EURUSDFX
medium impact
EUR / USD
1.092 +0.2%
Driver FX
view →

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Macro & rates

The macro backdrop, by theme.

Each macro hub tracks the prints, prediction-market events and assets in its orbit.