WTI WTI Crude Oil
OilEnergyInflation-sensitiveGeopolitics-sensitive
Today’s intelligenceCached · regenerated hourly
Top event affecting WTI todayBrent crude trades above $95 before year-end
28%▲ +7pts
Main driverOil
Prediction-market signalkalshi · Geopolitics
Impact confidencehigh
What to watch nextShipping-route headlines and inventory data.
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What changed
A linked event repriced: Odds of Brent above $95 by year-end rose to 28% (+7 pts) on renewed supply-route tensions.
Why it matters
WTI Crude Oil is sensitive to oil, energy, inflation-sensitive dynamics.
Main risk
A sudden supply shock or escalation.
What to watch next
Shipping-route headlines and inventory data.
Events that may affect WTI
Impact EngineSensitivity map
what moves itOil
Tracks crude-oil supply and price dynamics.
Energy
Driven by energy prices.
Inflation-sensitive
Exposed to inflation surprises and real-rate moves.
Geopolitics-sensitive
Reacts to geopolitical escalation and de-escalation.
Scenarios
Base
WTI Crude Oil trades in line with its key sensitivities.
Bull
Supply disruption pushes crude sharply higher.
Bear
De-escalation and ample supply cap prices.
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